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Discovery Farms · SW Colorado

Drought Conditions
& Landscape Change

An exploration of drought severity, vegetation response, and water availability across SW Colorado's agricultural watersheds — from 1984 to present. Produced in collaboration with Discovery Farms, an agricultural research organization with sites in Grand Valley and SW Colorado.

Peak Drought Conditions

US Drought Monitor (USDM) classifications for SW Colorado's worst recent drought years — 2012 and 2020. Drought categories range from D0 (Abnormally Dry) to D4 (Exceptional Drought). County boundaries shown for reference.

July 17, 2012 — Peak drought week, 2012 drought year



September 1, 2020 — Peak drought week, 2020 drought year

Year-by-Year Drought Conditions

Step through peak-summer (August) drought conditions across SW Colorado from 2000 to present. Drag the slider or use arrow keys to explore how drought severity has varied year to year.

August 2000 — USDM peak drought classification

2000 2025 2000
D0 Abnormally Dry D1 Moderate D2 Severe D3 Extreme D4 Exceptional

How Has Drought Changed Over Time?

Two complementary views of drought history across the SW Colorado region — a long-term moisture index spanning nearly seven decades, and a modern record of severe drought frequency since 2000.

Annual Mean PDSI — SW Colorado 1958–present

Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) — annual mean across SW Colorado, 1958–present. Negative values indicate drier than average conditions.

Severe Drought Extent — SW Colorado 2000–present

Percentage of SW Colorado in D2 (Severe) or worse drought each August, 2000–present.

Seeing Change from Space

Annual peak-season satellite imagery reveals how the landscape has responded to drought cycles over four decades. False color composites highlight vegetation health and moisture stress — green indicates healthy vegetation, brown indicates stress or bare soil.

Landsat false color time series — SW Colorado 1984–present

SW Colorado region — Landsat false color, 1984–present. SWIR/NIR/Red composite, annual peak-season (June–October) median.

Sentinel-2 false color time series — Grand Valley 2017–present

Grand Valley closeup — Sentinel-2 at 10m resolution, 2017–present. Shows irrigation patterns and crop-level moisture stress.

Data & Approach

All analysis was conducted using Google Earth Engine and Python. Data sources and methods are summarized below.

Data Sources & Methods

  • USDM drought maps — weekly classifications, D0–D4, 2000–present (NDMC/NOAA/USDA)
  • TerraClimate PDSI — monthly Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1958–present (~4km)
  • Landsat 5/7/8/9 — harmonized false color composites, June–October, 1984–present (30m)
  • Sentinel-2 SR — false color composites, July–August, 2017–present (10m)
  • Region: Delta, Dolores, Gunnison, La Plata, Mesa, Montezuma, Montrose, Ouray, San Miguel Counties
  • Cloud masking via per-pixel QA band; gap fill using 25th percentile fallback
  • Trend lines computed via ordinary least squares linear regression